Payout Ladder — Independent legs only (one per game)
2-Leg Parlays joint-prob floor 45%
#1-123fair · joint 55% · bet if book ≥ -101
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
KC TT Over 2.575% -293
#2-142fair · joint 59% · bet if book ≥ -116
NYY TT Over 2.576% -320
LAD TT Over 2.577% -334
#3-168fair · joint 63% · bet if book ≥ -137
PHI TT Over 2.578% -365
MIL TT Over 2.580% -399
3-Leg Parlays joint-prob floor 30%
#1+138fair · joint 42% · bet if book ≥ +170
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
KC TT Over 2.575% -293
NYY TT Over 2.576% -320
#2+124fair · joint 45% · bet if book ≥ +152
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
LAD TT Over 2.577% -334
PHI TT Over 2.578% -365
#3+118fair · joint 46% · bet if book ≥ +145
KC TT Over 2.575% -293
LAD TT Over 2.577% -334
MIL TT Over 2.580% -399
4-Leg Parlays joint-prob floor 20%
#1+209fair · joint 32% · bet if book ≥ +266
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
KC TT Over 2.575% -293
NYY TT Over 2.576% -320
LAD TT Over 2.577% -334
#2+189fair · joint 35% · bet if book ≥ +238
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
KC TT Over 2.575% -293
PHI TT Over 2.578% -365
MIL TT Over 2.580% -399
#3+182fair · joint 35% · bet if book ≥ +228
ATL TT Over 2.574% -284
NYY TT Over 2.576% -320
PHI TT Over 2.578% -365
BOS TT Over 2.580% -408
Sim-only — no market prices fetched. Team totals via Poisson on BP projected runs; pitcher Ks via BP K PMF (P(K≥m)=sum of tail). BP-fair odds = no-vig price at sim hit probability. All parlays require one leg per game (independent). Bet only when the book’s actual parlay price is at least the listed min-book price — that is the price at which the parlay clears the +5% edge floor (R3). A shorter price = no edge, skip.